BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 119 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  132.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    W   159.19  58   3   1B  93 (  3-  8) Grambling St           23.31 *   31.69                      
  2 09/10/2022 Away    L   147.37  12  45   1A   2 ( 11-  1) Ohio State             11.48 *  -44.48                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L   144.13  32  44   1A  57 (  6-  6) Memphis                 8.25    -20.25                      
  4 09/24/2022 Away    L * 136.93  26  29   1A  99 (  3-  9) Old Dominion            1.05     -4.05                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W * 148.57  45  28   1A 113 (  4-  8) Louisiana-Monroe       12.69      4.31                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    L * 130.60  20  42   1A  45 (  8-  3) James Madison          -5.28    -16.72                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    L * 142.40  19  20   1A  94 (  6-  6) Southern Miss           6.52     -7.52                      
  8 10/22/2022 Away    L * 128.34  18  38   1A  75 (  6-  6) Louisiana-Lafayette    -7.54    -12.46                      
  9 10/29/2022 Home    L * 120.44   3  31   1A  61 ( 10-  2) South Alabama         -15.44    -12.56                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    W   120.28  35  33   1A 131 (  1- 11) Massachusetts         -15.61     17.61                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    L * 132.94  13  16   1A 115 (  4-  8) Texas St-San Marcos    -2.94     -0.06                      
 12 11/26/2022 Home    L * 119.40  19  48   1A  58 ( 11-  2) Troy                  -16.48    -12.52                      
      Averages             135.88  25.0 31.4

Best game:  159.19 = 55 point win over Grambling St
Worst game: 119.40 = 29 point loss to Troy
Team stdev:  12.77